to all crafts

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −122.08₴

Invest at least 721.79₴

Average return 599.71₴

ROI −16.9%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 721.79 ₴, profit at most −122.08 ₴

float premium: at least 414 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

88.84 ₴

at 22.21

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

27.42 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

183.17 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 299.44 ₴ +300.27 (+100.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

88.84 ₴

at 22.21

Steam

×5

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

469.79 ₴

at 93.96

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

36.63 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 595.27 ₴ +380.49 (+63.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

22.21 ₴

at 22.21

Steam

×7

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

191.96 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

73.27 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 287.44 ₴ +86.64 (+30.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

44.42 ₴

at 22.21

Steam

×5

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

137.11 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

109.90 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 291.44 ₴ +157.85 (+54.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

66.63 ₴

at 22.21

Steam

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

82.27 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

146.54 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 295.44 ₴ +229.06 (+77.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

564.62 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

2 372.79 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

688.44 ₴ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

259.83 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

808.69 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

375.06 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

232.41 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

42.52 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +202.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +263.16 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2904921 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 306.91₴ · invest 273.14₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074225 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2905022 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 295.84₴ · invest 313.26₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074575 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2904663 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 294.45₴ · invest 210.66₴
UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076101 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2904809 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 294.37₴ · invest 328.34₴
sells slowly

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2905054 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 287.81₴ · invest 225.24₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2904741 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 282.40₴ · invest 300.55₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear), G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074172 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2904440 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 281.46₴ · invest 254.82₴
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2904922 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 257.97₴ · invest 290.05₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075205 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2904793 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 257.10₴ · invest 295.60₴
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074334 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2905038 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 251.75₴ · invest 206.13₴
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074695 instead of 0.074590

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build