to all crafts

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Rising Sun Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.12$

Invest 4.83$

Average return 4.95$

ROI +2.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 10.60 $, profit at most −5.65 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Facility Dark

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

0.03 $

at 0.03

Steam

×8

P250 | Facility Draft

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

0.39 $

at 0.05

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4851

4.41 $

at 4.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.83 $ +0.12 (+2.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072624

0.21 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Mainframe

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

0.27 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Motherboard

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

0.31 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

0.24 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.065624

87.03 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.12 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Rising Sun Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.11 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.44 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Rising Sun Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Rising Sun Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build