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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 426.51₸

Invest at least 12 292.09₸

Average return 9 865.53₸

ROI −19.7%

Chance of profit 31%

With float: invest at least 12 292.09 ₸, profit at most −2 426.51 ₸

float premium: at least 6 968 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1 120.34 ₸

at 224.07

Steam

×2

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

1 895.74 ₸

at 947.87

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1 383.15 ₸

at 691.57

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

1 054.86 ₸

at 1 054.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 454.09 ₸ +4 411.44 (+80.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

896.27 ₸

at 224.07

Steam

×2

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

1 895.74 ₸

at 947.87

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

2 766.30 ₸

at 691.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 558.31 ₸ +4 479.42 (+80.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

224.07 ₸

at 224.07

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

347.98 ₸

at 347.98

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

5 532.60 ₸

at 691.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 104.65 ₸ +4 793.93 (+78.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

1 120.34 ₸

at 224.07

Steam

×4

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

3 791.48 ₸

at 947.87

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

691.57 ₸

at 691.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 603.40 ₸ +3 917.84 (+69.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 62%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

5 695.95 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

23 937.04 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2 621.22 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

3 908.88 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 898.97 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

12 088.47 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 029.03 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 1 120.34 → 2 767.25 ₸

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 1 895.74 → 4 189.58 ₸

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 1 383.15 → 3 056.76 ₸

G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1 054.86 → 2 278.49 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.043749, 0.061249, 0.087499, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 712.59 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 558.19 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2904877 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 3 768.23₸ · invest 6 293.83₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear), G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074077 instead of 0.074437; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003567 instead of 0.003882
Craft 2905029 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 3 741.99₸ · invest 6 628.09₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear), G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075731 instead of 0.074437; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.005014 instead of 0.003882
Craft 2905121 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 730.96₸ · invest 4 623.30₸
rare inputs

nothing instead of G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New); M4A4 | Griffin: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074064 instead of 0.074437; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003556 instead of 0.003882; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074064 instead of 0.074437
Craft 2904813 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 3 669.12₸ · invest 4 532.86₸
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear), SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear), G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074437; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003763 instead of 0.003882
Craft 2905083 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 3 619.22₸ · invest 5 688.74₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear), G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074628 instead of 0.074437; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004049 instead of 0.003882
Craft 2904500 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 3 354.27₸ · invest 5 644.14₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear), Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear), G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074628 instead of 0.074437; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004049 instead of 0.003882

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build