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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit · by float −1.08₴ by average prices it would be +2.14

Invest 27.97₴

Average return 26.88₴

ROI −3.9% market check 19.10 15:09 MSK

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest 29.78 ₴, profit −2.89 ₴

float premium: 0 ₴ (0.0%)

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈37% of lots fit ≈ enough for 81 contracts · easy (estimate)

×9

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1340

23.33 ₴

at 2.59

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Dizzy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0560

1.42 ₴

at 1.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.75 ₴ +2.14 (+8.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

31.61 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

36.43 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

36.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117499

32.37 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Vendetta

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.03 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Aeolian Dark

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162499

1.64 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Snow Splash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.42 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Snow Splash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.08 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber

Field-Tested

float up to 0.200847

1.25 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The Achroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.66 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.18 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Achroma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2906203 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 2.08₴ · invest 24.85₴
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Dizzy (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build