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The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +20.24₽

Invest 139.05₽

Average return 159.29₽

ROI +14.6%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 342.65 ₽, profit at most −183.36 ₽

float premium: at least 192 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

49.05 ₽

at 49.05

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

90.00 ₽

at 10.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.05 ₽ +20.24 (+14.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 18%
About break-even 36%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

184.19 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

163.52 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

252.36 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

156.46 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

135.93 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

218.32 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

189.67 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.044999

245.15 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

248.45 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.46 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.13 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2924121 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 21.58₽ · invest 128.43₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165777 instead of 0.165367

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build