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The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +6.61$

Invest 54.33$

Average return 60.94$

ROI +12.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 133.05 $, profit at most −72.11 $

float premium: at least 75 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

20.94 $

at 20.94

Steam

×9

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

33.39 $

at 3.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.33 $ +6.61 (+12.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.114130

40.34 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138586

67.46 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081521

206.34 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

225.04 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.38 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2930489 · The Gamma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 6.93$ · invest 46.78$
rare inputs

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.181782 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2919997 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 6.52$ · invest 46.65$
rare inputs

AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176470 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2918785 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 6.40$ · invest 46.89$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176470 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2931081 · The Genesis Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 6.38$ · invest 39.64$
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176470 instead of 0.163043

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build