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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −72.59₴

Invest at least 211.94₴

Average return 139.34₴

ROI −34.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 211.94 ₴, profit at most −72.59 ₴

float premium: at least 117 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

5.38 ₴

at 5.38

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

41.82 ₴

at 10.45

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

21.80 ₴

at 7.27

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

23.60 ₴

at 11.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 92.59 ₴ +46.75 (+50.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

83.64 ₴

at 10.45

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Ensnared

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

6.57 ₴

at 6.57

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

11.80 ₴

at 11.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.00 ₴ +73.36 (+71.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

73.18 ₴

at 10.45

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Ensnared

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

13.13 ₴

at 6.57

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

11.80 ₴

at 11.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 98.12 ₴ +65.24 (+66.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

5.38 ₴

at 5.38

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

31.36 ₴

at 10.45

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

29.06 ₴

at 7.27

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

23.60 ₴

at 11.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89.40 ₴ +37.93 (+42.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

264.36 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192.29 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

316.61 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175.65 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

197.52 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

63.38 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

149.48 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

91.79 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

100.93 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

50.43 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5.38 → 11.62 ₴

UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 41.82 → 98.90 ₴

MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 21.80 → 49.26 ₴

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 23.60 → 52.15 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.046899, 0.069999, 0.048999, 0.053199, 0.034999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +31.20 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +43.45 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2924224 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 50.78₴ · invest 98.39₴
P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested), MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074463 instead of 0.074634
Craft 2923721 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 38.99₴ · invest 87.65₴
Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161671 instead of 0.163325; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074059 instead of 0.074634

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build