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The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −145.85₴

Invest at least 895.68₴

Average return 749.84₴

ROI −16.3%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 895.68 ₴, profit at most −145.85 ₴

float premium: at least 510 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

175.99 ₴

at 19.55

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0840

200.38 ₴

at 200.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 376.37 ₴ +373.46 (+99.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −595 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

11.11 ₴

at 11.11

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

97.77 ₴

at 19.55

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0853

801.53 ₴

at 200.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 910.41 ₴ +510.26 (+56.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 053 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

22.21 ₴

at 11.11

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

39.11 ₴

at 19.55

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0850

1 202.30 ₴

at 200.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 263.62 ₴ +604.28 (+47.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

620.36 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371.01 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 271.90 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

462.23 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

300.29 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 500.39 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.068399

4 331.81 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 697.91 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +249.47 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +362.86 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build