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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1.00$

Invest at least 5.08$

Average return 4.09$

ROI −19.6%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 5.08 $, profit at most −1.00 $

float premium: at least 3 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

0.65 $

at 0.32

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.89 $

at 0.18

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.65 $

at 0.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.18 $ +1.90 (+87.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.32 $

at 0.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.18 $

at 0.18

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.73 $

at 0.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.23 $ +2.06 (+92.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.92 $

at 0.18

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.32 $

at 0.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.18 $

at 0.18

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.65 $

at 0.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.07 $ +1.20 (+58.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.10 $

at 0.18

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.32 $

at 0.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.18 $

at 0.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.43 $

at 0.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.03 $ +1.03 (+50.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.47 $

at 0.18

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.32 $

at 0.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.18 $

at 0.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.97 $ +0.68 (+34.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 76%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 16%

in profit

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.82 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Factory New

float up to 0.047031

4.60 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.26 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.75 $ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.043320

2.43 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

1.79 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.58 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3.00 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

4.29 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1.38 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.28 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.81 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2918518 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.28$ · invest 2.80$
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074140 instead of 0.074327; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074140 instead of 0.074327
Craft 2922920 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.13$ · invest 2.25$
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.074327; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.074327

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build