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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +11.94$

Invest 11.80$

Average return 23.74$

ROI +101.1%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 29.19 $, profit at most −5.45 $

float premium: at least 17 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

0.96 $

at 0.96

Steam

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

8.60 $

at 1.07

Steam

×1

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

2.25 $

at 2.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.80 $ +11.94 (+101.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

1.07 $

at 1.07

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

23.27 $

at 3.88

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

20.08 $

at 6.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.42 $ +1.81 (+4.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

3.22 $

at 1.07

Steam

×6

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

25.77 $

at 4.30

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

6.69 $

at 6.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.69 $ +4.92 (+13.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

8.60 $

at 1.07

Steam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Monster Melt

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

2.20 $

at 2.20

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3.88 $

at 3.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.68 $ +11.87 (+80.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.55 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

23.63 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.01 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70.03 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

42.77 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.26 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2920527 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 11.05$ · invest 11.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) instead of AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162129; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162129
Craft 2926168 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 10.92$ · invest 11.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Reboot (Field-Tested) instead of AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162129; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162129

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build