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The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +18.84₽

Invest 372.65₽

Average return 391.49₽

ROI +5.0%

Chance of profit 65%

With float: invest at least 883.99 ₽, profit at most −492.50 ₽

float premium: at least 519 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

50.99 ₽

at 50.99

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

68.12 ₽

at 68.12

Steam

×2

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

32.26 ₽

at 16.13

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

221.28 ₽

at 36.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 372.65 ₽ +18.84 (+5.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

50.99 ₽

at 50.99

Steam

×1

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

16.13 ₽

at 16.13

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

295.04 ₽

at 36.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 362.16 ₽ +38.10 (+10.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 61%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 4%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

633.47 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078166

267.29 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

510.43 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

483.14 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

155.57 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

697.39 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

432.15 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199499

79.06 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 50.99 → 110.14 ₽

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 68.12 → 147.14 ₽

P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 32.26 → 71.29 ₽

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 221.28 → 555.41 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.116666567

outcomes come out up to 0.087499, 0.078166, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.116666, 0.060666, 0.058333, 0.199499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −38.37 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.10 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build