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The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +10.68₴

Invest 239.39₴

Average return 250.07₴

ROI +4.5%

Chance of profit 29%

With float: invest at least 577.51 ₴, profit at most −327.44 ₴

float premium: at least 318 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

54.84 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

36.63 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

×7

M4A4 | Dark Operative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

147.91 ₴

at 21.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 239.39 ₴ +10.68 (+4.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 29%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 23%

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

503.97 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

250.39 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Smart Gun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

266.79 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

88.11 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

83.67 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

375.06 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

232.41 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

42.52 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 only The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −18.51 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.52 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build