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The Fever Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +7.00₸

Invest 846.90₸

Average return 853.90₸

ROI +0.8%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 2 047.16 ₸, profit at most −1 193.26 ₸

float premium: at least 1 110 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4787

37.49 ₸

at 37.49

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4609

314.89 ₸

at 78.72

Steam

×5

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

494.52 ₸

at 98.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 846.90 ₸ +7.00 (+0.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.314999

1 498.33 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

float up to 0.314999

631.14 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Field-Tested

float up to 0.256499

260.42 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.359547

252.23 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Rising Sun

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

210.99 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Well-Worn

float up to 0.427746

226.78 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Field-Tested

float up to 0.314999

236.49 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −82.36 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −32.28 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2932732 · The Harlequin Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 6.89₸ · invest 844.19₸
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Mockingbird (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build