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The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −853.47₸

Invest at least 3 470.89₸

Average return 2 617.42₸

ROI −24.6%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 3 470.89 ₸, profit at most −853.47 ₸

float premium: at least 1 952 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

118.92 ₸

at 59.46

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

254.13 ₸

at 127.06

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1 054.37 ₸

at 175.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 427.42 ₸ +1 190.00 (+83.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

59.46 ₸

at 59.46

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

254.13 ₸

at 127.06

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

1 230.10 ₸

at 175.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 543.69 ₸ +1 421.51 (+92.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

127.06 ₸

at 127.06

Steam

×8

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1 405.83 ₸

at 175.73

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

440.81 ₸

at 440.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 973.70 ₸ +1 686.92 (+85.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

178.39 ₸

at 59.46

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

254.13 ₸

at 127.06

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

878.64 ₸

at 175.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 311.15 ₸ +958.56 (+73.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 201.42 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

1 146.60 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

2 485.21 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 605.33 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

988.99 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

389.33 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

565.71 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

723.69 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

385.47 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +709.53 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 033.43 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2934622 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 414.17₸ · invest 1 307.84₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074465 instead of 0.076029
Craft 2928297 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 342.90₸ · invest 1 373.33₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAC-10 | Allure: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Monster Call: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Tec-9 | Brother: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New): float at most 0.003909 instead of 0.005275; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.076029
Craft 2925353 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 298.11₸ · invest 1 336.60₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074261 instead of 0.076029
Craft 2939175 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 178.53₸ · invest 1 428.72₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074567 instead of 0.076029

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build