to all crafts

The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +72.78₴

Invest 263.03₴

Average return 335.81₴

ROI +27.7%

Chance of profit 75%

With float: invest at least 595.70 ₴, profit at most −259.89 ₴

float premium: at least 335 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

79.59 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

38.26 ₴

at 38.26

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

79.54 ₴

at 26.51

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

65.63 ₴

at 32.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 263.03 ₴ +72.78 (+27.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

79.59 ₴

at 19.90

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

114.79 ₴

at 38.26

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

79.54 ₴

at 26.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 273.93 ₴ +63.22 (+23.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 75%
Losing outcome 12%
About break-even 12%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

403.61 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

376.46 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

433.37 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

601.28 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

294.83 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

199.84 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 79.59 → 188.24 ₴

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 38.26 → 82.65 ₴

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 79.54 → 179.76 ₴

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 65.63 → 145.05 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.055555456

outcomes come out up to 0.038888, 0.038888, 0.149999, 0.055555, 0.127777, 0.021111

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.09 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +51.75 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build