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The Italy Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +2.40₴

Invest 35.50₴

Average return 37.90₴

ROI +6.8%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 83.71 ₴, profit at most −45.82 ₴

float premium: at least 45 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

3.86 ₴

at 3.86

Steam

×1

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

8.15 ₴

at 8.15

Steam

×7

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

18.03 ₴

at 2.58

Steam

×1

AUG | Steel Sentinel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

5.45 ₴

at 5.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.50 ₴ +2.40 (+6.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

8.15 ₴

at 8.15

Steam

×8

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

20.61 ₴

at 2.58

Steam

×1

AUG | Steel Sentinel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

5.45 ₴

at 5.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.21 ₴ +2.57 (+7.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

19.31 ₴

at 3.86

Steam

×2

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

16.31 ₴

at 8.15

Steam

×1

AUG | Steel Sentinel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

2.10 ₴

at 2.10

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

5.15 ₴

at 2.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.86 ₴ +0.63 (+1.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

7.72 ₴

at 3.86

Steam

×1

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

8.15 ₴

at 8.15

Steam

×6

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

15.46 ₴

at 2.58

Steam

×1

AUG | Steel Sentinel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

5.45 ₴

at 5.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.79 ₴ +2.23 (+6.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

23.17 ₴

at 3.86

Steam

×2

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

16.31 ₴

at 8.15

Steam

×1

AUG | Steel Sentinel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

2.10 ₴

at 2.10

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.58 ₴

at 2.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.15 ₴ +0.46 (+1.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 7%

in profit

FAMAS | 2A2F

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.100333

46.36 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Green Line

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

53.96 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

37.22 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087100

26.51 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

90.26 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.009333

42.27 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.09 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3.86 → 8.34 ₴

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 8.15 → 17.61 ₴

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear) × 7 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 18.03 → 45.98 ₴

AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5.45 → 11.78 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.116666567

outcomes come out up to 0.100333, 0.116666, 0.116666, 0.087100, 0.034999, 0.009333, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Italy Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Nuke Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.38 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.36 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Italy Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Italy Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build