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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +6.00$

Invest 7.35$

Average return 13.34$

ROI +81.6%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 17.33 $, profit at most −3.99 $

float premium: at least 10 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

3.52 $

at 0.59

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

2.30 $

at 0.77

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.53 $

at 1.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.35 $ +6.00 (+81.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1.76 $

at 0.59

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

1.53 $

at 0.77

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

7.63 $

at 1.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.92 $ +7.96 (+72.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1.17 $

at 0.59

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

1.53 $

at 0.77

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

9.15 $

at 1.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.86 $ +8.87 (+74.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

0.29 $

at 0.29

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

2.35 $

at 0.59

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

1.53 $

at 0.77

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

4.58 $

at 1.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.74 $ +6.45 (+73.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 70%
About break-even 10%

at a loss

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.52 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.067529

7.10 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.061764

5.95 $ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.038941

8.62 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.065882

74.76 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

26.66 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

2.27 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.33 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.81 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2936988 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.44$ · invest 8.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Eye of Zapems: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 6; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.003842 instead of 0.004146; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2904352 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.76$ · invest 8.74$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162967 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074510 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2920314 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.59$ · invest 8.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2917123 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.39$ · invest 7.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162989 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074518 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2937511 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.03$ · invest 8.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161707 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2933534 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4.97$ · invest 9.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2938664 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4.96$ · invest 7.87$
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162917 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074493 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2930686 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4.83$ · invest 6.72$
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161638 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074048 instead of 0.074738

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build