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The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −11.33$

Invest at least 69.95$

Average return 58.63$

ROI −16.2%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 69.95 $, profit at most −11.33 $

float premium: at least 38 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

15.51 $

at 5.17

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

5.98 $

at 5.98

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

3.44 $

at 1.15

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

6.28 $

at 2.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.22 $ +27.41 (+87.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

15.51 $

at 5.17

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

35.90 $

at 5.98

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2.09 $

at 2.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53.51 $ +56.73 (+106.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

25.86 $

at 5.17

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

0.91 $

at 0.91

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

8.37 $

at 2.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.14 $ +33.81 (+96.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

15.51 $

at 5.17

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

5.22 $

at 1.31

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

6.28 $

at 2.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.02 $ +21.29 (+78.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

5.17 $

at 5.17

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

6.88 $

at 1.15

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

6.28 $

at 2.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.33 $ +9.33 (+50.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

39.55 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

10.57 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

9.69 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

374.85 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

21.04 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

20.03 $ 13.33%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) × 3 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 15.51 → 35.06 $

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5.98 → 12.92 $

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) × 3 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 3.44 → 7.77 $

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 3 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 6.28 → 14.20 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.083333233

outcomes come out up to 0.064166, 0.058333, 0.083333, 0.149999, 0.024999, 0.135833

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26.25 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2934393 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 34.28$ · invest 36.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162941 instead of 0.165284; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162941 instead of 0.165284
Craft 2928128 · The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 33.23$ · invest 35.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162859 instead of 0.165284; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162859 instead of 0.165284
Craft 2927288 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 29.95$ · invest 36.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161585 instead of 0.165284; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161585 instead of 0.165284
Craft 2918674 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 29.30$ · invest 32.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162036 instead of 0.165284; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162036 instead of 0.165284
Craft 2937417 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 27.20$ · invest 32.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162278 instead of 0.165284; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162278 instead of 0.165284
Craft 2934394 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 25.89$ · invest 29.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162055 instead of 0.165284; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162055 instead of 0.165284

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build