The Kilowatt Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −29 656.72₴

Invest at least 98 168.48₴

Average return 68 511.76₴

ROI −30.2%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 98 168.48 ₴, profit at most −29 656.72 ₴

float premium: at least 53 588 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −32 181.00 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

9 852.26 ₴

at 3 284.09

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

34 344.96 ₴

at 17 172.48

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 44 197.22 ₴ +24 314.53 (+55.0%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 1.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −461 ₴

less than 1% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×4

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

13 136.34 ₴

at 3 284.09

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

17 172.48 ₴

at 17 172.48

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 30 308.83 ₴ +7 771.70 (+25.6%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 27%
Losing outcome 70%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

8 529.92 ₴ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

6 151.88 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 335.23 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 878.47 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

11 148.47 ₴ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 577.28 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 967.58 ₴ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 057.56 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 945.10 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 580.83 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 198.87 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 736.70 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

4 249.15 ₴ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 898.21 ₴ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 973.73 ₴ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 460.88 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 844.00 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 528.58 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.67%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 375.09 ₴ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 268.50 ₴ 1.67%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 989.64 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 821.70 ₴ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 147.44 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 776.26 ₴ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 475.68 ₴ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 244.94 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.67%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 368.02 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 316 875.69 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

418 015.45 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

128 092.00 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

961 810.05 ₴ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 779.82 ₴ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 623.88 ₴ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 713.52 ₴ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 724.46 ₴ 1.67%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +22 604.15 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24 117.16 ₴ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2942795 · The Phoenix Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 29 754.85₴ · invest 49 349.05₴
sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942796 · The Glove Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 29 754.85₴ · invest 49 349.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942823 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 29 722.19₴ · invest 49 381.71₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005875 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942824 · The Glove Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 29 722.19₴ · invest 49 381.71₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005875 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942819 · The Vanguard Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 29 601.49₴ · invest 49 502.40₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942820 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 29 601.49₴ · invest 49 502.40₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942805 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 28 574.02₴ · invest 50 529.88₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005875 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942806 · The Glove Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 28 574.02₴ · invest 50 529.88₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005875 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942821 · The Wildfire Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 25 962.48₴ · invest 46 471.63₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007777 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942822 · The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 25 962.48₴ · invest 46 471.63₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007777 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942788 · The Glove Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 24 314.53₴ · invest 44 197.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2942799 · The Prisma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 24 254.55₴ · invest 47 544.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008154 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2942800 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 24 254.55₴ · invest 47 544.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008154 instead of 0.009652

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build