to all crafts

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −219.47₽

Invest at least 483.95₽

Average return 264.48₽

ROI −45.4%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 483.95 ₽, profit at most −219.47 ₽

float premium: at least 261 ₽

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0022

105.80 ₽

at 52.90

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1745

49.25 ₽

at 9.85

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

56.85 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 211.90 ₽ +52.58 (+24.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

158.70 ₽

at 52.90

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1745

49.25 ₽

at 9.85

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

37.90 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 245.85 ₽ +71.60 (+29.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

46.42 ₽

at 46.42

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0025

211.60 ₽

at 52.90

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1745

49.25 ₽

at 9.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 307.27 ₽ +116.12 (+37.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

185.68 ₽

at 46.42

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0025

211.60 ₽

at 52.90

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

19.70 ₽

at 9.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 416.98 ₽ +165.32 (+39.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

92.84 ₽

at 46.42

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0024

211.60 ₽

at 52.90

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1738

39.40 ₽

at 9.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 343.84 ₽ +132.52 (+38.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 64%
About break-even 16%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

201.24 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

158.08 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

248.56 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

154.36 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

149.32 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

961.90 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.029166

1 125.58 ₽ 6.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

286.97 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.91 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.34 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build