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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +47.20₴

Invest 173.40₴

Average return 220.60₴

ROI +27.2%

Chance of profit 58%

With float: invest at least 428.29 ₴, profit at most −207.70 ₴

float premium: at least 246 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +78.75 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

126.48 ₴

at 25.30

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1759

46.92 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.40 ₴ +47.20 (+27.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4918

20.51 ₴

at 20.51

Steam

×7

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

177.07 ₴

at 25.30

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

18.77 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 216.35 ₴ +25.66 (+11.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4782

20.51 ₴

at 20.51

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

151.78 ₴

at 25.30

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

28.15 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 200.44 ₴ +34.43 (+17.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 42%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

248.37 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

176.90 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128571

209.88 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.053571

613.37 ₴ 16.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

60.95 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.25 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +32.26 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2980137 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 42.31₴ · invest 136.79₴
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162630 instead of 0.175923
Craft 2950966 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 40.94₴ · invest 173.67₴
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); P250 | Vino Primo: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174587 instead of 0.175923
Craft 2980136 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 39.17₴ · invest 132.17₴
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162142 instead of 0.175923

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build