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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −705.45₽

Invest at least 2 396.10₽

Average return 1 690.65₽

ROI −29.4%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 2 396.10 ₽, profit at most −705.45 ₽

float premium: at least 1 344 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

247.86 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

522.81 ₽

at 174.27

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

274.27 ₽

at 274.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 044.94 ₽ +645.71 (+61.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

247.86 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

348.54 ₽

at 174.27

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

548.54 ₽

at 274.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 144.94 ₽ +521.31 (+45.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −414 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

165.24 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

495.00 ₽

at 165.00

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

822.81 ₽

at 274.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 483.05 ₽ +85.60 (+5.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −206 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

165.24 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

174.27 ₽

at 174.27

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

495.00 ₽

at 165.00

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

548.54 ₽

at 274.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 383.05 ₽ +210.00 (+15.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

165.24 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

348.54 ₽

at 174.27

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

495.00 ₽

at 165.00

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

274.27 ₽

at 274.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 283.05 ₽ +334.40 (+26.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 62%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

954.83 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 462.74 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

499.36 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.043999

2 857.03 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 440.79 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

1 858.60 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.057999

1 487.73 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

814.35 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +378.66 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +503.26 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The 2021 Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951546 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 673.63₽ · invest 897.86₽
Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077236 instead of 0.078552; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006331 instead of 0.007483
Craft 2952161 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 665.21₽ · invest 1 010.06₽
rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078231 instead of 0.078552; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.007202 instead of 0.007483
Craft 2951489 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 659.81₽ · invest 967.78₽
rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.078552; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.007483
Craft 2952043 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 658.33₽ · invest 927.61₽
rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076695 instead of 0.078552; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005858 instead of 0.007483

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build