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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2 541.39₸

Invest 1 835.08₸

Average return 4 376.47₸

ROI +138.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 4 475.18 ₸, profit at most −98.71 ₸

float premium: at least 2 618 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3 371.53 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

902.63 ₸

at 225.66

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

932.45 ₸

at 155.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 835.08 ₸ +2 541.39 (+138.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

84.12 ₸

at 84.12

Steam

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

225.66 ₸

at 225.66

Steam

×1

MP9 | Modest Threat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

140.39 ₸

at 140.39

Steam

×7

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

1 087.86 ₸

at 155.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 538.03 ₸ +1 174.44 (+76.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1 128.29 ₸

at 225.66

Steam

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

951.96 ₸

at 951.96

Steam

×4

MP9 | Modest Threat

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

915.52 ₸

at 228.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 995.76 ₸ +3 044.76 (+101.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1 128.29 ₸

at 225.66

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

1 903.91 ₸

at 951.96

Steam

×3

MP9 | Modest Threat

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

686.64 ₸

at 228.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 718.84 ₸ +3 153.68 (+84.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 48%
About break-even 12%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

5 215.79 ₸ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

24 377.85 ₸ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

2 727.77 ₸ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.050555

780.32 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

904.76 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 045.55 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

1 008.82 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

1 289.27 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 823.78 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 164.75 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951624 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 3 076.71₸ · invest 2 258.10₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075321 instead of 0.075275
Craft 2951636 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 2 991.97₸ · invest 1 824.32₸
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074128 instead of 0.075275
Craft 2951986 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 965.90₸ · invest 1 723.48₸
P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074226 instead of 0.075275
Craft 2951978 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2 900.61₸ · invest 1 830.49₸
Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.075275
Craft 2952067 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2 890.38₸ · invest 2 282.14₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075275
Craft 2951656 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 2 808.10₸ · invest 2 055.50₸
rare inputs

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of nothing; MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074882 instead of 0.075275; Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 6; Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164037 instead of 0.165165
Craft 2951617 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 2 697.04₸ · invest 1 698.68₸
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075628 instead of 0.075275
Craft 2951910 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 2 689.09₸ · invest 2 493.59₸
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.082292 instead of 0.075275
Craft 2951638 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 2 504.86₸ · invest 1 824.32₸
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077718 instead of 0.075275
Craft 2951665 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2 502.33₸ · invest 1 764.67₸
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076486 instead of 0.075275
Craft 2951755 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 2 452.13₸ · invest 1 822.52₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear), AUG | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076486 instead of 0.075275
Craft 2951735 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 2 332.65₸ · invest 2 521.72₸
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077020 instead of 0.075275

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build