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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −942.40₸

Invest at least 4 611.30₸

Average return 3 668.91₸

ROI −20.4%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 4 611.30 ₸, profit at most −942.40 ₸

float premium: at least 2 590 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3 714.74 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

451.31 ₸

at 225.66

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

517.57 ₸

at 103.51

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 033.40 ₸

at 344.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 002.29 ₸ +1 666.62 (+83.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

902.63 ₸

at 225.66

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

4 759.78 ₸

at 951.96

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

344.47 ₸

at 344.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 006.87 ₸ +3 714.74 (+61.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

225.66 ₸

at 225.66

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

724.60 ₸

at 103.51

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

688.93 ₸

at 344.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 639.20 ₸ +1 165.05 (+71.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

676.97 ₸

at 225.66

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

310.54 ₸

at 103.51

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1 377.87 ₸

at 344.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 365.39 ₸ +2 168.19 (+91.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

902.63 ₸

at 225.66

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

103.51 ₸

at 103.51

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 722.34 ₸

at 344.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 728.48 ₸ +2 669.76 (+97.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 48%
About break-even 16%

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 289.02 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 884.57 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 158.65 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 820.77 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 999.50 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5 215.79 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

24 377.85 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 929.06 ₸ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 160.57 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 495.80 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951736 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1 869.66₸ · invest 2 022.45₸
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074371 instead of 0.076021
Craft 2951756 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 1 660.57₸ · invest 2 114.11₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear), AUG | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)
Craft 2951562 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 1 456.06₸ · invest 1 899.54₸
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.111416 instead of 0.076021

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build