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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −6.54$

Invest at least 23.24$

Average return 16.71$

ROI −28.1%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 23.24 $, profit at most −6.54 $

float premium: at least 14 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +8.05 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2.00 $

at 0.50

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

4.21 $

at 2.10

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.62 $

at 0.62

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

3.49 $

at 1.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.31 $ +6.40 (+62.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

2.00 $

at 0.50

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

10.52 $

at 2.10

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

1.16 $

at 1.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.68 $ +8.05 (+58.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

0.50 $

at 0.50

Steam

×7

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

4.31 $

at 0.62

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

2.33 $

at 1.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.14 $ +1.21 (+16.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.00 $

at 0.50

Steam

×5

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

3.08 $

at 0.62

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

3.49 $

at 1.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.57 $ +2.45 (+32.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 20%

about break-even

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

11.53 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

53.89 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.32 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

5.79 $ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18.48 $ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

7.66 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5.39 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

1.03 $ 8.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 2.00 → 4.72 $

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 4.21 → 9.30 $

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.62 → 1.33 $

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 3.49 → 7.89 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.034999, 0.048999, 0.069999, 0.041999, 0.069999, 0.036399, 0.034999, 0.175699

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.67 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.29 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951631 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 6.89$ · invest 7.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074307
Craft 2951931 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.81$ · invest 6.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074225 instead of 0.074307
Craft 2952145 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 6.70$ · invest 13.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074307; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003828 instead of 0.003769
Craft 2951813 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 6.56$ · invest 7.18$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.074307
Craft 2951733 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 6.44$ · invest 5.69$
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075931 instead of 0.074307
Craft 2952146 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 6.43$ · invest 12.06$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.074307; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005104 instead of 0.003769
Craft 2951812 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 6.04$ · invest 7.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074307
Craft 2952034 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5.89$ · invest 6.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075688 instead of 0.074307
Craft 2951932 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 5.75$ · invest 6.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New), Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075205 instead of 0.074307

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build