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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +16.74₴

Invest 409.87₴

Average return 426.60₴

ROI +4.1%

Chance of profit 65%

With float: invest at least 1 019.84 ₴, profit at most −593.24 ₴

float premium: at least 587 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

76.52 ₴

at 76.52

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

20.51 ₴

at 20.51

Steam

×8

Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

312.84 ₴

at 39.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 409.87 ₴ +16.74 (+4.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

in profit

Glock-18 | Vogue

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

510.85 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Factory New

float up to 0.068133

525.24 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

286.58 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

1 624.14 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

251.70 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −46.54 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12.02 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2975827 · The Fracture Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 17.64₴ · invest 354.11₴
MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested) instead of MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build