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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +13.21₴

Invest 171.48₴

Average return 184.68₴

ROI +7.7%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 415.49 ₴, profit at most −230.80 ₴

float premium: at least 247 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

22.51 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

28.15 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

120.81 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 171.48 ₴ +13.21 (+7.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

8.39 ₴

at 8.39

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

45.02 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

9.38 ₴

at 9.38

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

120.81 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183.61 ₴ +0.65 (+0.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

248.37 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

176.90 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Random Access

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

96.01 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

262.39 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

272.12 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10.41 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.04 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2980032 · The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 12.95₴ · invest 172.25₴
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162960 instead of 0.164711; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074507 instead of 0.075116

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build