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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +6.21$

Invest 16.51$

Average return 22.72$

ROI +37.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 38.17 $, profit at most −15.44 $

float premium: at least 22 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

2.49 $

at 0.50

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

8.42 $

at 2.10

Steam

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1745

5.60 $

at 5.60

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 16.51 $ +6.21 (+37.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

1.50 $

at 0.50

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

8.42 $

at 2.10

Steam

×3

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1750

16.80 $

at 5.60

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 26.72 $ +0.03 (+0.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

2.00 $

at 0.50

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

8.42 $

at 2.10

Steam

×2

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

11.20 $

at 5.60

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 21.62 $ +3.12 (+14.4%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

11.53 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53.89 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

6.03 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

43.22 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Road Rash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

50.69 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.87 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.41 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951510 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 6.08$ · invest 14.28$
rare inputs

P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074060 instead of 0.078540; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003553 instead of 0.007473
Craft 2952157 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 6.07$ · invest 16.08$
outcome without sales rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) instead of Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076377 instead of 0.078540; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005580 instead of 0.007473

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build