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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −738.76₴

Invest at least 1 762.45₴

Average return 1 023.69₴

ROI −41.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 762.45 ₴, profit at most −738.76 ₴

float premium: at least 1 016 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

90.05 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

474.83 ₴

at 94.97

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0865

174.38 ₴

at 174.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 739.26 ₴ +284.44 (+38.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

90.05 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

379.87 ₴

at 94.97

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0863

348.76 ₴

at 174.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 818.67 ₴ +172.64 (+21.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −79 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

90.05 ₴

at 22.51

Steam

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

284.90 ₴

at 94.97

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0862

523.14 ₴

at 174.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 898.09 ₴ +60.84 (+6.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 66%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

520.32 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

2 431.92 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

691.24 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

206.69 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 561.87 ₴ 2.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

1 742.38 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

518.72 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

180.58 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +116.49 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +211.97 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951509 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 280.87₴ · invest 716.88₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074828 instead of 0.077433; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004225 instead of 0.006504

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build