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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −2.99₴

Invest 90.21₴

Average return 87.22₴

ROI −3.3%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest 90.21 ₴, profit −2.99 ₴

float premium: 1 ₴ (1.3%)

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +35.76 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈26% of lots fit ≈ enough for 45 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1298

8.72 ₴

at 4.36

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0524

56.19 ₴

at 8.03

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1298

13.98 ₴

at 13.98

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 78.89 ₴ +8.34 (+10.6%)

≈21% of lots fit ≈ enough for 43 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1280

11.81 ₴

at 5.91

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0507

48.16 ₴

at 8.03

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0507

24.46 ₴

at 12.23

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 84.43 ₴ +5.65 (+6.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.067199

68.77 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154.34 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65.21 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99.78 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.011199

87.64 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106399

117.34 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

206.60 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090999

107.86 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 only The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8.89 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.80 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build