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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Lake Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −361.89₸

Invest at least 1 392.62₸

Average return 1 030.72₸

ROI −26.0%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 1 392.62 ₸, profit at most −361.89 ₸

float premium: at least 772 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +579.08 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0026

482.78 ₸

at 80.46

souvenirSteam

×4

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

76.48 ₸

at 19.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 559.25 ₸ +471.47 (+84.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0008

241.39 ₸

at 80.46

souvenirSteam

×5

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

95.59 ₸

at 19.12

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

593.12 ₸

at 296.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 930.11 ₸ +239.42 (+25.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 69%
Losing outcome 16%
About break-even 15%

in profit

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

689.37 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

1 547.10 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

653.70 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

1 000.19 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 405.81 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

104.44 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mudder

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 162.34 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 546.85 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

303.12 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +246.03 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +365.93 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2951022 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 617.86₸ · invest 210.58₸
sells slowly

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Factory New); G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078972 instead of 0.078778

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build