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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +57.97₽

Invest 134.55₽

Average return 192.52₽

ROI +43.1%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 311.15 ₽, profit at most −118.63 ₽

float premium: at least 153 ₽

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +69.91 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

14.94 ₽

at 4.98

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

12.62 ₽

at 6.31

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1589

17.23 ₽

at 17.23

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0027

89.76 ₽

at 22.44

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 134.55 ₽ +57.97 (+43.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 12%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

113.04 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.055263

127.54 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.055263

197.93 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.043289

112.01 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.007368

160.83 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294.28 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

379.12 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.059868

386.45 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) × 3 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 14.94 → 33.76 ₽

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) × 2 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 12.62 → 27.89 ₽

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested) × 1 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 17.23 → 37.22 ₽

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) × 4 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 89.76 → 212.28 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.092105163

outcomes come out up to 0.046052, 0.055263, 0.055263, 0.043289, 0.007368, 0.069999, 0.046052, 0.059868

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.20 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +37.76 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build