to all crafts

The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +50.43$

Invest 254.64$

Average return 305.07$

ROI +19.8%

Chance of profit 92%

With float: invest at least 619.59 $, profit at most −314.52 $

float premium: at least 360 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

49.04 $

at 49.04

Steam

×8

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

161.78 $

at 20.22

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

43.81 $

at 43.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 254.64 $ +50.43 (+19.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

49.04 $

at 49.04

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

77.32 $

at 77.32

Steam

×8

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

161.78 $

at 20.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 288.15 $ +0.63 (+0.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 8%

in profit

AK-47 | B the Monster

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

369.56 $ 90.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Emerald)

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

104.65 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 1)

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

104.65 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 2)

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

104.65 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 3)

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

104.65 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 4)

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

104.65 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Coalition

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

569.96 $ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 only The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.88 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +33.70 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build