to all crafts

The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +163.93$

Invest 217.76$

Average return 381.69$

ROI +75.3%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 552.40 $, profit at most −170.71 $

float premium: at least 330 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −210 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

43.22 $

at 43.22

Steam

×9

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

174.54 $

at 19.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 217.76 $ +163.93 (+75.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −311 $

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

129.67 $

at 43.22

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

49.04 $

at 49.04

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

19.39 $

at 19.39

Steam

×5

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

143.30 $

at 28.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 341.40 $ +25.29 (+7.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −276 $

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

86.44 $

at 43.22

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

49.04 $

at 49.04

Steam

×4

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

77.57 $

at 19.39

Steam

×3

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

85.98 $

at 28.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 299.04 $ +72.65 (+24.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −242 $

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

43.22 $

at 43.22

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

49.04 $

at 49.04

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

135.75 $

at 19.39

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

28.66 $

at 28.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 256.68 $ +120.01 (+46.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

in profit

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

655.85 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

233.53 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Emerald)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

104.65 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 1)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

104.65 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 2)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

104.65 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 3)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

104.65 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 4)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

104.65 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Coalition

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 800.00 $ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +80.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +116.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2979581 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 179.72$ · invest 209.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −209 $ rare inputs

FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074683 instead of 0.074914
Craft 2988950 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 162.60$ · invest 197.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −198 $ rare inputs

FAMAS | Afterimage (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074819 instead of 0.074914

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build