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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.79$

Invest 15.09$

Average return 18.88$

ROI +25.1%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 36.63 $, profit at most −17.74 $

float premium: at least 21 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Schematic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

6.50 $

at 6.50

souvenirSteam

×9

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

8.59 $

at 0.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.09 $ +3.79 (+25.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Nova | Interlock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

4.62 $

at 4.62

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P90 | Schematic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

6.50 $

at 6.50

souvenirSteam

×7

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

6.68 $

at 0.95

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2.06 $

at 2.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.87 $ +2.02 (+10.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Nova | Interlock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

4.62 $

at 4.62

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Schematic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

13.00 $

at 6.50

souvenirSteam

×7

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

6.68 $

at 0.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.30 $ +0.60 (+2.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27.88 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.88 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

78.37 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Prism Terrace

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

36.73 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Digital Architect

Factory New

float up to 0.034299

43.47 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 only The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.42 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.92 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2959633 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 3.66$ · invest 14.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074647 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2988666 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3.45$ · invest 12.45$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076315 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build