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The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1.35$

Invest 6.09$

Average return 7.44$

ROI +22.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 14.47 $, profit at most −7.03 $

float premium: at least 8 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

AUG | Creep

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

3.06 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

P90 | Aeolian Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

0.75 $

at 0.75

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0841

2.28 $

at 2.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.09 $ +1.35 (+22.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

AK-47 | Breakthrough

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.05 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Trace Lock

Factory New

float up to 0.065333

5.90 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.055466

26.95 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

9.64 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.20 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.80 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Achroma Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2956622 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1.30$ · invest 6.18$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075859 instead of 0.075727; P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): float at most 0.005127 instead of 0.005011

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build