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The Ancient Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −10.75$

Invest at least 37.67$

Average return 26.92$

ROI −28.5%

Chance of profit 29%

With float: invest at least 37.67 $, profit at most −10.75 $

float premium: at least 22 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.11 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

3.23 $

at 3.23

souvenirSteam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.77 $

at 0.77

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

11.21 $

at 1.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.21 $ +11.71 (+77.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

3.23 $

at 3.23

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1030

3.98 $

at 3.98

souvenirSteam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

0.77 $

at 0.77

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

9.81 $

at 1.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.79 $ +11.66 (+65.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1566

2.90 $

at 2.90

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1030

15.94 $

at 3.98

souvenirSteam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

0.77 $

at 0.77

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

5.61 $

at 1.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.21 $ +11.83 (+46.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

6.45 $

at 3.23

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1029

3.98 $

at 3.98

souvenirSteam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

9.81 $

at 1.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.25 $ +11.73 (+58.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1028

23.91 $

at 3.98

souvenirSteam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

2.31 $

at 0.77

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1.40 $

at 1.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.62 $ +11.96 (+43.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

7.99 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74.75 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

26.66 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.78 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Gold Brick

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

79.99 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.039374

49.54 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Ancient Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

41.96 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.99 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2983400 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.98$ · invest 13.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.161818; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.074110
Craft 2988781 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 10.73$ · invest 13.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.161818; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.074110

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build