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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +20.40$

Invest 53.77$

Average return 74.17$

ROI +37.9%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 128.13 $, profit at most −53.95 $

float premium: at least 70 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +32.22 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

15.32 $

at 7.66

Steam

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1820

3.38 $

at 1.13

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

35.07 $

at 7.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53.77 $ +20.40 (+37.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 27%
Losing outcome 73%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

32.20 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

240.00 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

20.21 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

36.22 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Undertow

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

37.03 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 5 only The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.28 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.76 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build