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The Ascent Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +18.21$

Invest 30.75$

Average return 48.96$

ROI +59.2%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 77.17 $, profit at most −28.21 $

float premium: at least 45 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Royal Guard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

0.67 $

at 0.67

Steam

×8

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

25.02 $

at 3.13

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

5.06 $

at 5.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.75 $ +18.21 (+59.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

12.30 $

at 3.08

Steam

×1

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

5.95 $

at 5.95

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1678

12.51 $

at 3.13

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

5.06 $

at 5.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.82 $ +2.01 (+5.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

9.23 $

at 3.08

Steam

×1

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

5.95 $

at 5.95

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

18.77 $

at 3.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.94 $ +6.67 (+19.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

9.23 $

at 3.08

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

18.77 $

at 3.13

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

5.06 $

at 5.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.05 $ +10.34 (+31.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

153.49 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

13.01 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

12.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Stratosphere

Factory New

float up to 0.066666

27.51 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.29 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16.35 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2984743 · The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 18.69$ · invest 33.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163524 instead of 0.162229; USP-S | Guardian (Factory New): float at most 0.004116 instead of 0.003722
Craft 2985009 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 18.24$ · invest 33.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163723 instead of 0.162229; USP-S | Guardian (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.003722
Craft 2980161 · The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 17.32$ · invest 31.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165703 instead of 0.162229; USP-S | Guardian (Factory New): float at most 0.004779 instead of 0.003722

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build