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The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +14.89₴

Invest 437.30₴

Average return 452.19₴

ROI +3.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 019.62 ₴, profit at most −567.42 ₴

float premium: at least 577 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

136.87 ₴

at 136.87

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

128.14 ₴

at 25.63

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

172.29 ₴

at 43.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 437.30 ₴ +14.89 (+3.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

273.74 ₴

at 136.87

Steam

×7

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

179.40 ₴

at 25.63

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

43.07 ₴

at 43.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 496.22 ₴ +2.86 (+0.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

405.94 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111999

254.07 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

738.29 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

1 075.41 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

973.06 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

967.40 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −55.61 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −9.83 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build