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The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +15.43₽

Invest 429.00₽

Average return 444.43₽

ROI +3.6%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 1 033.37 ₽, profit at most −588.93 ₽

float premium: at least 557 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +32.04 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

32.37 ₽

at 32.37

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

141.06 ₽

at 70.53

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

255.57 ₽

at 36.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 429.00 ₽ +15.43 (+3.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

70.53 ₽

at 70.53

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

219.06 ₽

at 36.51

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

182.73 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 472.32 ₽ +13.61 (+2.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

279.08 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

332.23 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 554.39 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

558.16 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

189.52 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

371.94 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

331.32 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.040384

352.56 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

320.49 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Genesis Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −46.98 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.81 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build