to all crafts

The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.76$

Invest 5.80$

Average return 10.57$

ROI +82.1%

Chance of profit 85%

With float: invest at least 14.12 $, profit at most −3.55 $

float premium: at least 8 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5.47 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

1.70 $

at 0.85

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

0.26 $

at 0.26

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3.84 $

at 0.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.80 $ +4.76 (+82.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

4.26 $

at 0.85

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

0.77 $

at 0.26

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.10 $

at 0.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.13 $ +2.35 (+38.4%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 85%
Losing outcome 15%

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.68 $ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35.97 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.42 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.82 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.85 $ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4.49 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10.45 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

4.26 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

3.87 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.47 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.69 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2965700 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 5.19$ · invest 5.33$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163529 instead of 0.162105; StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074705 instead of 0.074210
Craft 2978703 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4.90$ · invest 5.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.162105; StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.074210

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build