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The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.11$

Invest 1.98$

Average return 2.09$

ROI +5.8%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 4.99 $, profit at most −2.90 $

float premium: at least 3 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×9

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

1.53 $

at 0.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.98 $ +0.11 (+5.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 32%

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

2.30 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Field-Tested

float up to 0.156333

1.56 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

3.31 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

2.50 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.233333

2.47 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.85 $ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Supernova

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

2.34 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.03 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2970432 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.11$ · invest 1.84$
MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166349 instead of 0.163560
Craft 2976508 · The Gallery Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.11$ · invest 1.89$
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163313 instead of 0.163560
Craft 2986078 · The Radiant Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 0.10$ · invest 1.94$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Well-Worn) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161978 instead of 0.163560

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build