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The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −119.50$

Invest at least 688.99$

Average return 569.49$

ROI −17.3%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 688.99 $, profit at most −119.50 $

float premium: at least 378 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −105.96 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

33.35 $

at 33.35

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

37.66 $

at 18.83

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

209.30 $

at 29.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 280.31 $ +289.18 (+103.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −212 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

170.66 $

at 24.38

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

66.70 $

at 33.35

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

18.83 $

at 18.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 256.19 $ +84.45 (+33.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −172 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

121.90 $

at 24.38

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

100.05 $

at 33.35

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

37.66 $

at 18.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 259.61 $ +109.64 (+42.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

100.05 $

at 33.35

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

56.50 $

at 18.83

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

119.60 $

at 29.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 276.15 $ +236.13 (+85.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

896.00 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

365.83 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

271.03 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

446.66 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +228.50 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +288.68 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2988529 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 282.76$ · invest 280.03$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162319 instead of 0.161909; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2968411 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 266.68$ · invest 284.48$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162361 instead of 0.161909; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074299 instead of 0.074142

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build