to all crafts

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fracture Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.50$

Invest 2.02$

Average return 2.51$

ROI +24.7%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 4.74 $, profit at most −2.23 $

float premium: at least 3 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | Orange Crash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

0.54 $

at 0.54

Steam

×7

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

0.92 $

at 0.13

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

0.55 $

at 0.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.02 $ +0.50 (+24.7%)

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

G3SG1 | Orange Crash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

1.08 $

at 0.54

Steam

×7

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

0.92 $

at 0.13

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

0.28 $

at 0.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.28 $ +0.56 (+24.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4793

1.01 $

at 0.34

Steam

×3

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

0.40 $

at 0.13

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1.10 $

at 0.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.51 $ +0.65 (+26.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

2.17 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.98 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.52 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1.68 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.23 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.45 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Firefight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.76 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.17 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.030099

6.34 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

3.52 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2963697 · The CS20 Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 0.47$ · invest 2.02$
SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New); Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076243 instead of 0.076113; SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New): float at most 0.005463 instead of 0.005349
Craft 2975287 · The Fracture Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 0.46$ · invest 1.97$
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New); Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.073594 instead of 0.076113; SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New): float at most 0.003145 instead of 0.005349

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build