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The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +234.92$

Invest 197.65$

Average return 432.57$

ROI +118.9%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 502.94 $, profit at most −70.37 $

float premium: at least 272 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +237.88 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −160 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

161.74 $

at 17.97

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

35.91 $

at 35.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 197.65 $ +234.92 (+118.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −552 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

89.86 $

at 17.97

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

183.02 $

at 61.01

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

300.01 $

at 150.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 572.89 $ +60.09 (+10.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −212 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

143.77 $

at 17.97

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

40.01 $

at 40.01

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

61.01 $

at 61.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 244.79 $ +237.88 (+97.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −408 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

107.83 $

at 17.97

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

61.01 $

at 61.01

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

264.03 $

at 88.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 432.86 $ +150.01 (+34.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

784.69 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

94.98 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

347.92 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

1 684.11 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +221.51 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +232.43 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2970607 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 219.53$ · invest 185.05$
profit on prices without salesat least −148 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.006513 instead of 0.004115
Craft 2970295 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 212.79$ · invest 179.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −143 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.007408 instead of 0.004115

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build