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The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +3.87$

Invest 10.63$

Average return 14.50$

ROI +36.4%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 26.24 $, profit at most −11.74 $

float premium: at least 15 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

7.64 $

at 0.95

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.54 $

at 1.54

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1.45 $

at 1.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.63 $ +3.87 (+36.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2.86 $

at 0.95

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

4.08 $

at 2.04

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

7.27 $

at 1.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.21 $ +1.53 (+10.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.97 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

5.63 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

16.36 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119166

30.99 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

13.01 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074666

15.61 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.09 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2970237 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 3.76$ · invest 12.43$
rare inputs

Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 2970623 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 3.76$ · invest 11.11$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 2951661 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 3.71$ · invest 10.87$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 2970130 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 3.69$ · invest 10.30$
rare inputs

Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 2970531 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 3.56$ · invest 10.48$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build