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The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.55$

Invest 2.12$

Average return 2.67$

ROI +25.8%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 4.95 $, profit at most −2.28 $

float premium: at least 3 $

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

0.59 $

at 0.12

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.92 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Condition Zero

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3840

0.61 $

at 0.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.12 $ +0.55 (+25.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

0.24 $

at 0.12

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.92 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Condition Zero

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3840

0.61 $

at 0.61

Steam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Vendetta

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

2.90 $

at 0.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.66 $ +0.26 (+5.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

0.12 $

at 0.12

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.92 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Condition Zero

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3840

0.61 $

at 0.61

Steam

×4

CZ75-Auto | Vendetta

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

3.86 $

at 0.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.51 $ +0.16 (+3.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.43 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.91 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.00 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.86 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.80 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Exoskeleton

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9.68 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12.37 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12.49 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Parallax

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11.36 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

8.31 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.27 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.48 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971187 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 0.52$ · invest 2.38$
rare inputs

Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Well-Worn); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162545 instead of 0.163441; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074675

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build