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The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −759.95₸

Invest at least 1 710.10₸

Average return 950.21₸

ROI −44.4%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 1 710.10 ₸, profit at most −759.95 ₸

float premium: at least 946 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +236.80 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

376.64 ₸

at 53.81

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

207.03 ₸

at 103.51

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

135.25 ₸

at 135.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 718.92 ₸ +231.28 (+32.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

215.22 ₸

at 53.81

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

207.03 ₸

at 103.51

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

405.76 ₸

at 135.25

Steam

×1

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

140.39 ₸

at 140.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 968.40 ₸ +234.40 (+24.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

161.42 ₸

at 53.81

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

207.03 ₸

at 103.51

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

405.76 ₸

at 135.25

Steam

×2

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

280.77 ₸

at 140.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 054.98 ₸ +231.99 (+22.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 54%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 099.28 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

863.52 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 357.77 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

843.20 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

815.67 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127499

1 944.11 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122999

2 127.71 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

1 820.77 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +123.56 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +205.06 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971659 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 217.45₸ · invest 697.51₸
SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.166275; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.075660
Craft 2970964 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 211.55₸ · invest 649.17₸
SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.166275; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075660
Craft 2960794 · The Bank Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 208.23₸ · invest 723.79₸
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.166275; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.075660

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build