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The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +100.63₽

Invest 193.37₽

Average return 294.00₽

ROI +52.0%

Chance of profit 82%

With float: invest at least 470.90 ₽, profit at most −176.90 ₽

float premium: at least 261 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +133.16 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

132.65 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×2

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

29.72 ₽

at 14.86

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

31.00 ₽

at 31.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 193.37 ₽ +100.63 (+52.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

151.60 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×1

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

14.86 ₽

at 14.86

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

31.00 ₽

at 31.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 197.46 ₽ +116.90 (+59.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

113.70 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×3

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

44.58 ₽

at 14.86

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

31.00 ₽

at 31.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 189.28 ₽ +84.37 (+44.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

94.75 ₽

at 18.95

Steam

×4

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

59.44 ₽

at 14.86

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

31.00 ₽

at 31.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 185.19 ₽ +68.10 (+36.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 18%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

419.04 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

345.00 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

578.24 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333.32 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

366.04 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

257.12 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

113.42 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

122.99 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

253.24 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

124.43 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +68.11 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +95.45 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2966588 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 133.55₽ · invest 250.00₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075804 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2971231 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 132.77₽ · invest 302.90₽
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080997 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2971406 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 130.61₽ · invest 292.36₽
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080569 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2956042 · The Achroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 127.67₽ · invest 300.80₽
P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080569 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2959893 · The Ascent Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 101.27₽ · invest 314.29₽
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080997 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build